Thursday, November 24, 2005

More CO2 Now Than Past 650K Years

A letter to the NY Times:

"Study: More CO2 Now Than Past 650K Years"

How can AP class this as a news story? Consider these excerpts:
"By analyzing tiny air bubbles preserved in Antarctic ice for millennia, a team
of European researchers highlights how people are dramatically influencing the
buildup of these gases."
"The remarkable research promises to ..."
"Those measurements are disturbing: Levels of carbon dioxide have climbed from
280 parts per million two centuries ago to 380 ppm today. ...
"Skeptics sometimes dismiss the rise in greenhouse gases as part of a naturally
fluctuating cycle. The new study provides ever-more definitive evidence
countering that view, however."
The first paragraph is a breathless introduction more suited to a fiction writer than reporter, and the second paragraph is not even barely contained glee packaged with obvious agreement between reporter and study. (Or should I say, publicist and study.)

The third paragraph also starts out with a normative statement, but one even more biased than the first: it is a clear statement of the "reporter's" judgement that the levels are "disturbing". This is not a fact, but his assessment of the fact.

The fourth paragraph is an open slam again the skeptics, and takes the new "study" as gospel for refuting the skeptics.

Is AP in the news business or in the "news" business? Make up your mind. This is the sort of "reporting" that used to be found in Soviet "Pravda". ("Pravda" = truth, unless you were living in Soviet Russia, which case it meant the opposite.)

If you want to really be objective, rather than pretending to be, do a story on what the *skeptics* say about this study. I think you will find that the study itself is even more non-objective than AP.

http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/science/AP-Greenhouse-Gas.html
http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D8E33F2G3&show_article=1

Study: More CO2 Now Than Past 650K Years
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS Published: November 24, 2005
Filed at 6:01 p.m. ET

WASHINGTON (AP) -- There is more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere today than at any point during the last 650,000 years, says a major new study that let scientists peer back in time at ''greenhouse gases'' that can help fuel global warming.

By analyzing tiny air bubbles preserved in Antarctic ice for millennia, a team of European researchers highlights how people are dramatically influencing the buildup of these gases.

The remarkable research promises to spur ''dramatically improved understanding'' of climate change, said geosciences specialist Edward Brook of Oregon State University.

The study, by the European Project for Ice Coring in Antarctica, is published Friday in the journal Science.

Today, scientists directly measure levels of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases, which accumulate in the atmosphere as a result of fuel-burning and other processes. Those gases help trap solar heat, like the greenhouses for which they are named, resulting in a gradual warming of the planet.

Those measurements are disturbing: Levels of carbon dioxide have climbed from 280 parts per million two centuries ago to 380 ppm today. Earth's average temperature, meanwhile, increased about 1 degree Fahrenheit in recent decades, a relatively rapid rise. Many climate specialists warn that continued warming could have severe impacts, such as rising sea levels and changing rainfall patterns.

Skeptics sometimes dismiss the rise in greenhouse gases as part of a naturally fluctuating cycle. The new study provides ever-more definitive evidence countering that view, however.

Deep Antarctic ice encases tiny air bubbles formed when snowflakes fell over hundreds of thousands of years. Extracting the air allows a direct measurement of the atmosphere at past points in time, to determine the naturally fluctuating range.

A previous ice-core sample had traced greenhouse gases back about 440,000 years. This new sample, from East Antarctica, goes 210,000 years further back in time.

Today's still rising level of carbon dioxide already is 27 percent higher than its peak during all those millennia, said lead researcher Thomas Stocker of the University of Bern, Switzerland.

''We are out of that natural range today,'' he said.

Moreover, that rise is occurring at a speed that ''is over a factor of a hundred faster than anything we are seeing in the natural cycles,'' Stocker added. ''It puts the present changes in context.''

The team, which included scientists from France and Germany, found similar results for methane, another greenhouse gas.

Researchers also compared the gas levels to the Antarctic temperature over that time period, covering eight cycles of alternating glacial or ice ages and warm periods. They found a stable pattern: Lower levels of gases during cold periods and higher levels during warm periods.

The bottom line: ''There's no natural condition that we know about in a really long time where the greenhouse gas levels were anywhere near what they are now. And these studies tell us that there's a strong relationship between temperature and greenhouse gases,'' explained Oregon State's Brook. ''Which logically leads you to the conclusion that maybe we should worry about temperature change in the future.''

A lengthening history of greenhouse gas concentrations should help climate specialists build better models about what the future might bring, Stocker said. It also may help answer additional questions such as how long ago humans started influencing greenhouse gas accumulations, and what impact other factors such as ocean currents play in the complexities of climate change.

Just a decade ago, scientists weren't sure it was possible to trace greenhouse gas concentrations back so far in ice. Now, Brook is part of another international research team preparing to hunt an ice-core sample dating back a million years or more, hoping to reach eras when Earth's temperature was significantly warmer.

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On the Web:

Science: http://www.sciencemag.org/

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